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The 158 members of the [[Dáil]] will be elected in 40 multi-member constituencies with between three and five seats using the [[single transferable vote]] system in which voters rank candidates on their ballot papers. When the ballot papers are counted, an electoral quota is created by dividing the number of valid votes by the number of seats, plus one. |
The 158 members of the [[Dáil]] will be elected in 40 multi-member constituencies with between three and five seats using the [[single transferable vote]] system in which voters rank candidates on their ballot papers. When the ballot papers are counted, an electoral quota is created by dividing the number of valid votes by the number of seats, plus one. |
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Any candidate receiving a number of votes |
Any candidate receiving a number of votes exceeding the quota is elected. If fewer candidates reach the quota than the number of seats to be filled, the last-placed candidate is removed from the count and the second preferences on those ballot papers are redistributed; if a candidate now has more votes than the quota, the surplus is given to other candidates in order of ranking on the ballot papers. This is repeated until sufficient candidates have passed the quota to fill the available seats.<ref>[http://www.ipu.org/parline-e/reports/2153_B.htm Electoral system] IPU</ref> |
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==Opinion poll== |
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<!-- Opinion polls are listed in reverse chronological order - latest first --> |
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{|class="wikitable sortable collapsible" |
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|- style="height:42px; background-color:#E9E9E9" |
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! style="width:130px;" rowspan="2"| Date |
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! style="width:190px;" rowspan="2"| Source/Link |
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! style="width:130px;" rowspan="2"| Polling Agency |
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! style="width:35px;"| [[Fine Gael|FG]] |
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! style="width:35px;"| [[Fianna Fáil|FF]] |
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! style="width:35px;"| [[Sinn Féin|SF]] |
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! style="width:35px;"| [[Labour Party (Ireland)|Lab]] |
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! style="width:35px;"| [[Anti-Austerity Alliance–People Before Profit|AAA -PBP]] |
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! style="width:35px;"| [[Social Democrats (Ireland)|SD]] |
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! style="width:35px;"| [[Green Party (Ireland)|GP]] |
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! style="width:35px;"| [[Renua Ireland|RI]] |
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! style="width:40px;"| Others |
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|- |
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! style="background:{{Fine Gael/meta/color}};"| |
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! style="background:{{Fianna Fáil/meta/color}};"| |
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! style="background:{{Sinn Féin/meta/color}};"| |
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! style="background:{{Labour Party (Ireland)/meta/color}};"| |
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! style="background:{{Anti-Austerity Alliance–People Before Profit/meta/color}};"| |
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! style="background:{{Social Democrats (Ireland)/meta/color}};"| |
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! style="background:{{Green Party (Ireland)/meta/color}};"| |
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! style="background:{{Renua Ireland/meta/color}};"| |
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! style="background:{{Independents/meta/color}};"| |
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|- |
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|{{dts|format=dmy|2016|03|12}} |
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|''[[The Sunday Business Post]]''<ref group="p" name="Poll20160312">{{cite news |url=http://www.businesspost.ie/another-general-election-would-produce-no-major-gains-for-ff-or-fg/ |title=Another general election would produce no major gains for FF or FG |publisher=The Sunday Business Post |date=12 March 2016 |accessdate=12 March 2016}}</ref> |
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|Red C |
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|'''27''' |
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|25 |
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|15 |
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|4 |
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|4 |
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|5 |
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|3 |
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|2 |
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|14 <ref group="nb" name="Others20160312">Includes Independent Alliance at 5%.</ref> |
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|- |
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|''{{dts|format=dmy|2016|02|26}}'' |
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|''[[Irish general election, 2016|General election]]'' |
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| {{N/A}} |
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|'''''25.5''''' |
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|''24.3'' |
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|''13.8'' |
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|''6.6'' |
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|''3.9'' |
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|''3.0'' |
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|''2.7'' |
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|''2.2'' |
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|''17.9'' |
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|- |
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|} |
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==Footnotes== |
==Footnotes== |
Revision as of 18:58, 12 March 2016
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The next general elections will be held in Ireland by 10 March 2021 at the latest. The elections will be called following the dissolution of the 32nd Dáil by the President, at the request of the Taoiseach.
Electoral system
The 158 members of the Dáil will be elected in 40 multi-member constituencies with between three and five seats using the single transferable vote system in which voters rank candidates on their ballot papers. When the ballot papers are counted, an electoral quota is created by dividing the number of valid votes by the number of seats, plus one.
Any candidate receiving a number of votes exceeding the quota is elected. If fewer candidates reach the quota than the number of seats to be filled, the last-placed candidate is removed from the count and the second preferences on those ballot papers are redistributed; if a candidate now has more votes than the quota, the surplus is given to other candidates in order of ranking on the ballot papers. This is repeated until sufficient candidates have passed the quota to fill the available seats.[1]
Opinion poll
Date | Source/Link | Polling Agency | FG | FF | SF | Lab | AAA -PBP | SD | GP | RI | Others |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
style="background:Template:Fine Gael/meta/color;"| | style="background:Template:Fianna Fáil/meta/color;"| | style="background:Template:Sinn Féin/meta/color;"| | style="background:Template:Labour Party (Ireland)/meta/color;"| | style="background:Template:Anti-Austerity Alliance–People Before Profit/meta/color;"| | style="background:Template:Social Democrats (Ireland)/meta/color;"| | style="background:Template:Green Party (Ireland)/meta/color;"| | style="background:Template:Renua Ireland/meta/color;"| | style="background:Template:Independents/meta/color;"| | |||
12 March 2016 | The Sunday Business Post[p 1] | Red C | 27 | 25 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14 [nb 2] |
26 February 2016 | General election | — | 25.5 | 24.3 | 13.8 | 6.6 | 3.9 | 3.0 | 2.7 | 2.2 | 17.9 |
Footnotes
- ^ Gerry Adams became President of Sinn Féin on 13 November 1983, but only became parliamentary leader of Sinn Féin in the Dáil once elected to the Dáil for the first time in February 2011. Prior to that its parliamentary leader in the Dáil since 1997 was Caoimhghín Ó Caoláin.
- ^ Includes Independent Alliance at 5%.
- ^ The 50 seats for Fine Gael includes the Ceann Comhairle Seán Barrett, elected in 2011 for Fine Gael, who is returned automatically.
References
- ^ Electoral system IPU
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