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A Genoa low (also known as Genoa cyclogenesis, Ligurian depression, or V(5)-track cyclone) is a cyclone that forms or intensifies from a pre-existing cyclone to the south of the Alps over the Gulf of Genoa, Ligurian Sea, Po Valley and northern Adriatic.[1] Vb cyclones are rare events which occur on average only 2.3 times per year.[2]
Cyclogenesis
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The northwestern Mediterranean and the Gulf of Genoa in particular, are not only a transition area for passing cyclones, but are frequently areas of cyclogenesis.[3][4] Low pressure areas move into or are formed as a result of North Atlantic air entering the Mediterranean Sea between the Alps and the Massif Central, via the Rhone Valley, or via the Carcassonne gap between the Pyrenees and Massif Central. This cold and moist air enters the Mediterranean basin, and is deflected by the high mountains of northwest Corsica, which divert the air mass to the northeast, triggering cool and wet Libeccio winds in response into the Ligurian Sea, which in turn hit the western Apennines located in the immediate vicinity of the sea.
Several factors that have special relevance in the development of depressions south of the Alps are:
- The thermal contrast between land and sea.
- Interaction between the polar front jet stream and the subtropical jet stream.
- Effect of northerly flow over the Alps, enhancing cyclogenetic activity along the southern slopes.
- Effect of the concave curvature of the southern slopes of the Alps, enhancing cyclonic formation.[1]
A complex interaction is established between the orography of Liguria and the contrast between the cold and humid air mass and the warmer water of the Ligurian Sea, the process ends with the formation of a low pressure area over the Ligurian Sea, just near the city of Genoa. Genoa low cyclogenesis can occur at any time of year, though usually situated further south during the summer.[1] Cyclogenesis is shifted to the east depending on the amount of cold air entering the Po Valley, and generally shifts to the Gulf of Venice when little enters the valley.[1]
Effects on climate
The depressions bear rain, often intense, on the Ligurian coast and hills of Tuscany, due to orographic lift which affects the southern side of the Apennines. The area of low pressure is slow moving, and may follow a trajectory from west to east, then going on to affect the regions of the Adriatic, or move from the north-west to south-east down along the Tyrrhenian Sea: in this last case, the structure will reach the same cyclonic area of formation of Tyrrhenian depressions, although not related to the latter.
Van Bebber cyclone tracks
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Most Genoa lows remain stationary or leave a residual trough to the south of the Alps.[1] Three principal tracks which they typically follow were identified by Wilhelm Jakob van Bebber who classified European windstorm tracks ("Zyklonenbahnen" in German) in 1891.[3] To this date, track V of the latter group has remained in common use, unlike the large majority of van Bebber's tracks.[3] The V track is linked to flooding events in central and eastern Europe, low pressure areas (south of the Alps) can track across France into the Mediterranean Sea where they pick up additional moisture, or form, and then move into central and eastern or southern Europe.[5] the tracks diverge from the Genoa low formation area along the following pathways.
Vb track
A strong southwesterly flow in the upper atmosphere leads the lows to the northeast and north-northeast, ("Zugstrasse Vb" Van Bebber) towards the Vienna Basin. The lows then glide over colder and denser air from the northwest and are lifted orographically by the Bohemian Massif, Ore Mountains, Sudetes, Beskids and Tatra Mountains.[6] The warm and moist air masses cause prolonged and abundant precipitation during slow Meridional flow over the upper catchments of both the southern and northern European Watershed. Flooding then progresses down their major rivers of central Europe.[7] This 'Vb-track' displays a high potential for large summer floods in Europe.[8] Although the link between large summer floods and the Vb track have also been described as having a significant but weak correlation.[6]
Examples of flooding events which follow this pattern are:
- St. Mary Magdalene's flood
- 1997 Central European flood from the lows "Xolska" and "Zoe".
- 2002 European floods from the lows "Hanne" and "Ilse".[9]
- 2005 European floods[10]
- 2009 European floods
- 2010 Central European floods from the low "Yolanda".[11]
- 2013 European floods
- 2014 Southeast Europe floods[12]
Due to the expected warming of the future climate it is predicted that the annuality of Vb-cyclones will decrease. The decrease in Vb-cyclones could be caused by the shift of the cyclone track over Europe to the north. Modelling has shown that precipitation from future Vb-cyclones will have a greater impact on the eastern coasts of the Mediterranean Sea and a lesser impact on the Alpine region compared to the precipitation pattern of current Vb-cyclones.[13]
Vc track
The Vc track draws the lows across the Panonian plain towards the Carpathian Mountains and on towards western Ukraine and Moldova.
Vd track
If there is a strong anticyclone over the Balkans, Turkey and the Black Sea, the usual track of the low is southeasterly, skirting the northern coast of the Mediterranean Sea. It is this track that moves the low across the Tyrrhenian Sea. Even after the primary low has moved out of the Tyrrhenian Sea-central Mediterranean area, if a residual trough remains south of the Alps, as is often the case, new centers can develop and occasionally move southeastward along the west coast of Italy.[1] It is also common that a Genoa Low that has moved to the southwest will stall and become stationary, just to the west of the foot of the Italian boot, and this often will be associated with new low centers developing to the east over the Ionian Sea.[1] In this case, gale force Bora are typically generated by the time the depression moves into the Ionian Sea.[14]
See also
References
- ^ a b c d e f g "Local Hazardous Weather Conditions". Naval Research Laboratory. Retrieved 3 April 2012.
- ^ Messmer, Martina (2015). "Climatology of Vb cyclones, physical mechanisms and their impact on extreme precipitation over Central Europe" (PDF). Earth System Dynamics. 6 (2): 541. Bibcode:2015ESD.....6..541M. doi:10.5194/esd-6-541-2015.
- ^ a b c Kreienkamp, F.; A. Spekat; W. Enke (2010). "A robust method to identify cyclone tracks from gridded data" (PDF). Advances in Science and Research. 4: 105–114. Bibcode:2010AdSR....4..105K. doi:10.5194/asr-4-105-2010. Retrieved 30 March 2012.
- ^ "Satellite Overview and Synoptic Situation". eumetrain. Retrieved 19 April 2012.
- ^ "Die Vb-Wetterlage ist das Härteste". Der Tagesspiegel Online (in German). tagesspiegel.de. Retrieved 28 March 2012.
- ^ a b Mudelsee, M.; Börngen, M.; Tetzlaff, G.; Grünewald, U. (December 2004). "Extreme floods in central Europe over the past 500 years: Role of cyclone pathway 'Zugstrasse Vb'" (PDF). Journal of Geophysical Research. 109 (D23): D23101. Bibcode:2004JGRD..10923101M. doi:10.1029/2004JD005034. Retrieved 30 November 2012.
- ^ "Central Europe Floods 2010" (PDF). eqecat. Retrieved 28 March 2012.
- ^ Donat, Markus G. (March 2010). "European wind storms, related loss potentials and changes in multi-model climate simulations" (PDF). Dissertation, FU Berlin. Retrieved 19 February 2012.
- ^ Sáez de Cámara (2011). "Water vapour accumulation mechanisms in the Western Mediterranean Basin and the development of European extreme rainfalls" (PDF). Tethys, Journal of Weather and Climate of the Western Mediterranean. doi:10.3369/tethys.2011.8.10. Retrieved 3 June 2013.
- ^ Breinl, Korbinian (26 August 2015). "Ten Years After the Deluge: Revisiting the Central Europe Floods of 2005". Air Worldwide. Retrieved 2 September 2015.
- ^ "System Explanation of Floods in Central Europe". Helmholtz-Association. Retrieved 28 March 2012.
- ^ "Balkan Floods". Alert:Air-Worldwide. 20 May 2014. Retrieved 20 May 2014.
- ^ Messmer, Martina; Raible, Christoph C.; Gómez-Navarro, Juan José (2020-01-01). "Impact of climate change on the climatology of Vb cyclones". Tellus A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography. 72 (1): 1–18. Bibcode:2020TellA..7224021M. doi:10.1080/16000870.2020.1724021. ISSN 1600-0870.
- ^ "Genoa Low". weather online. Retrieved 3 April 2012.